May 1, 2026
NO ONE Is Buying Trump's Iran War Messaging
President Trump claimed that hostilities in Iran are OVER.
- 21 minutes
looking at the Iran war, haven't you already
won? isn't it, I mean, war-. We've already
won, but I want to win by a bigger margin.
But we have, we have already. We have destroyed
their Navy, destroyed their Air Force, destroyed
all of their, if you look at their anti-aircraft
[00:00:19]
equipment, their radar equipment, their leadership,
their leadership is destroyed. We've destroyed
everything. If we leave right now, would take
them 20 years to rebuild if they ever could
rebuild. But it's actually not good enough.
I've already won, I've won everything. I just
[00:00:40]
want to destroy a little bit more. Really,
come on, which boomer still believes this guy?
mean, well, you have to be really out of your
damn mind to believe anything he said. So
no, we haven't destroyed all their. uh That's
why they keep planting mines in the straight
[00:00:57]
of war moves and that's why it's not open.
Two thirds of their air force is still intact,
which is shocking and all that leaked by his
own vice president. But the main question is,
why is Donald Trump at this point, and this
is a very important point, pretending that
[00:01:13]
the war is over when it is nowhere near over?
In fact, he just rejected a peace plan by
Iran. So John, tell us all about I'm sure that'll
be followed up by another one soon after all
the Iranians are so desperate to end this thing.
But yeah, there's multiple reasons really
[00:01:30]
why Donald Trump is lying in the way that he
is. There's the copium that he's been doing
for quite some time, but we've also about to
hit a special date. So according to CNN, the
war in Iran, which Donald Trump of course started
without getting approval from Congress, without
even apparently letting Congress know that he
was about to start an incredibly consequential
[00:01:47]
and expensive and stupid war. He's about to
hit its 60th day or did. I guess we're on
the 60th day today. So why is that important?
Well, first of all, it's important because
they told you on day one that it would take
two to three weeks. So never forget that they've
been lying to you about the timeline from the
very beginning. But it's also important because
[00:02:03]
of the law. Under the War Powers Act of 1973,
the president has 60 days to conduct military
action in response to an imminent threat or
an attack on the United States if Congress
has not voted to authorize a war. Without explicit
congressional authorization, the law says
that once that deadline is reached, the president
quote shall terminate. any use of the United
[00:02:21]
States armed forces. And to be clear, this six-day
timeframe is based on when Trump notified Congress
of the hostility. So a couple little interesting
notes about that. First, though, the text of
the law. The President must notify Congress
within 48 hours of introducing the armed forces
into hostilities and explain the scope, justification,
and likely duration of the effort. In his notification
[00:02:42]
to Congress about Iran, Trump, like other presidents,
said he committed troops under a president's
inherent authority in the Constitution to conduct
a United States foreign relations. um A purposeful
misreading of the Constitution, which clearly
makes the legislature in control of military
action. They've just taken that power for themselves.
So uh when should the clock have started?
[00:03:00]
Well, some are saying it should have started
on February 28th when the hostilities actually
started. You could say it's two days after that,
but either way, we're at the 60 day mark right
now. Now, uh sort of interestingly, um it
says that he was supposed to initially explain
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the scope, justification, and likely duration.
He has not really done that to this point.
It's been two months. He keeps changing what
the scope and the purpose of all of this is.
And also bear in mind, the reason for him to
be able to briefly use the military without
going to Congress is because of an imminent
threat or attack in the United States, which
[00:03:35]
of course never existed in the first place.
So I think a case could easily be made that
he's been in violation of the War Powers Act
from the very beginning, both the intent and
the letter of the law. But he also appears
to be violating the incredibly lenient 60
day timeline that he's been given. So what's
going to be done about it? Well, lawmakers
[00:03:54]
are debating. uh Some lawmakers say, okay, so
if Friday, May 1st was the 60th day, then
maybe we should do something. Some Senate Republicans
argue that that should mark a quote inflection
point when Congress must step in. Boy, I'm
sure they're ready to use all that great power
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they have in the Senate. They've been so deferential.
Remember, they rejected an opportunity. require
Trump to come before them before hostilities
against Cuba. So they have a terminal case
of not wanting to do just about anything these
days. But anyway, let's talk now about the
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ceasefire that supposedly is going on right
now. So they're claiming that that pauses the
timeline or resets the timeline or something
like that. And there are a few issues with
that. So the first is Bruce Fine, a US constitutional
and international law expert and former associate
deputy attorney general said the resolution
the War Powers Act anywhere. The 60 day deadline
[00:04:46]
to receive congressional approval for military
action stops if there's a ceasefire. He warned
that such an interpretation turns the resolution
into simply a paper tiger. Ironically, I think
it would be just the latest reason that's just
a paper tiger, like we've literally never used
it to stop a conflict. But he is right that
uh nowhere in the law says that you can just
[00:05:04]
stop it with a ceasefire. What he could also
make the case that we barely have a ceasefire.
We're still blockading them. which is an act
of war. They're still blockading the Strait
of Hormuz, which is an act of war. We've seized
ships, they've seized ships. What part of this
seems like peace has been achieved in our time?
But this seems to be a compelling argument
[00:05:24]
to some of the dumbest people in America, like
Donald Trump, but also Pete Hegseth. Take a
look. We're right at the 60 day deadline. Is
the president intending to either seek congressional
authorization for the war in Iran? or send
us the legally required certification that
[00:05:42]
he needs an additional 30 days to remove US
forces from the war. Ultimately, I would defer
to the White House and White House counsel on
that. However, we are in a ceasefire right
now, which our understanding means the 60 day
clock pauses or stops in a ceasefire. you're
[00:05:58]
nodding. It's our understanding, just so you
know. Okay, well, I do not believe the statute
would support that. I think the 60 days runs
maybe tomorrow. Yeah, to be clear that is not
Pete Hegseth's understanding that is Pete Hegseth's
intentional performative misunderstanding of
what the law says. But that is the position
of the administration. Look, one of the biggest
[00:06:16]
problems with political media right now isn't
just bias. It's how quickly the same story
gets spun into two completely different realities
depending on who's telling it. That's why I
recommend Ground News. It's a website and app
that pulls together reporting from across the
political spectrum so you can compare how the
same story is being covered, who's covering
[00:06:34]
it, and what kind of narrative they're pushing.
Take this story about Pete Hegseth refusing
to rule out US troops on the ground in Iran.
On ground news, you can immediately see how
differently outlets frame that same development.
The Daily Signal downplays the danger by stressing
[00:06:49]
that this isn't Iraq and that the war won't
be endless. NBC meanwhile, focuses on the
key fact that Hegseth would not rule out American
boots on the ground in Iran. Same story, two
completely different realities. And ground news
makes that obvious right away. You can compare
[00:07:07]
headlines side by side, see the bias distribution
of the coverage, check the factuality ratings
of the sources, and even see who owns the outlets
behind the reporting. That matters because
once you understand how stories are being framed,
you start to see how public consent gets manufactured.
[00:07:24]
Ground news also has a blind spot feed that
highlights stories that one side of the political
spectrum is barely covering. So you're not just
trapped inside the version of the world your
algorithm wants to feed you. If you're tired
of being fed somebody else's narrative, I genuinely
[00:07:41]
recommend ground news. Go to ground.news slash
tyt or scan the QR code. Using our link gets
you 40 % off ground news vantage plan and you
can also gift a subscription directly through
ground news. Trump apparently sent a letter
to Mike Johnson explaining that this was their
[00:07:59]
stance. But to be clear, Mike Johnson already
was interviewed earlier today and he said the
same thing, the war is over. They're saying
hostilities have terminated, even though they
haven't. Cenk, what do you think? Yeah, okay,
so let's just skip all the lies. Is he in violation
[00:08:15]
of the War Powers Act, of course? Is the war
illegal, of course? Is it unconstitutional
for the president to go to war without a declaration
of war, of course? Is he passed the 60 days
now, of course? we stopped counting when
Roseanne got taken off the air because we thought
[00:08:33]
that was unfair. Okay, none of that makes any
sense. Okay, so that's kind of obvious.
To me, the real questions are twofold, So
number one is, I'm back to, I don't know what's
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going to happen. um We have to leave the war,
and this is how you do it. You just come home,
okay? like the simplest deal with the Iranians,
saving face, who cares, right? So I mean, Trump's
going to pretend he cares, but it's an easy
way to get past that. Here, I'll give Trump
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rare, helpful advice for him. Just make a crappy
deal and then lie about it. And just tell all
the Fox News viewers, the war over fans you
have left, right? Yeah, we have won greatly
in Iran. We made them open up the straight of
hormones. They won't know that it wasn't closed
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before. Sean Hannity never told him, right?
So come home, come home, that's also super
clear and he's gotta do it. But is he going
to and I don't know. I mean, this is to me
now this has become one of the big, big mysteries.
I was convinced last week, uh Anna got me
[00:09:47]
uh to believe for good logical empirical reasons
and the data we had at that point. Now we're
going back in, right? Now I'm like Trump really
seems kind of desperate to avoid it because
it will be an economic disaster and it will
totally obliterate his administration if it
[00:10:05]
isn't already obliterated. So if you're looking
at it strictly from a Trump perspective, let
alone an American perspective, you would have
to be beyond crazy, beyond emotionally and
psychologically disturbed to go back into this
war. guys, one last thing that's important
[00:10:22]
about this so you understand the context. He's
kept the market together with duct tape by
like every day coming out and going, it's almost
over. No, no, no, prices go down, go down.
They shut down, don't worry, don't worry, the
oil's totally fine. The war's fine, everything's
[00:10:37]
pieces blooming everywhere. I'm a hippie now,
I'm hanging out with Ben Cohen and Jerry Greenfield
and we're in Woodstock. And the markets are
like, okay, bro, okay, yeah, yeah, yeah, we
believe you, we believe you. But if it turns
out we go back to bombing, then they're to
go. Okay, and the market's going to crash and
all those things are going to happen and way
[00:10:56]
worse than he even anticipates. So then the
question remains that that's left. If that's
not a question, what is? Is he fully and utterly
controlled by Israel? Do they have blackmail
on him? Because that's the only reason to go
back in, period, period, right? So if we don't
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go back in, hey, maybe they didn't have the
blackmail. And maybe he was just an idiot
and got talked into it by the Israelis plus
the bribes and all that stuff. But thank God
they don't have the blackmail. Let's get the
hell out of there, right? If he does go back
in, they definitely have the blackmail and then
economic calamity will ensue. So the second
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part, John, is of course how it's affecting
his own voters. So Democrats are never in question.
He never had any of them, never going to get
any of them. Independence, bye bye, right?
Gone, 70 % of them are against the war, 61 %
of the whole country. not just against the
[00:11:52]
war, say the war was a mistake, okay? And it's
at Iraq, at the height of the violence in mid
2006, when the Republicans got shellacked in
the midterms, and everybody's furious with
Iraq war, 59 % of Americans thought the Iraq
war was a mistake. Two months in, we're already
[00:12:11]
at 61%, a higher number in Iran. But now let's
dive into his own voters because I hear all
over the internet and TV, he hasn't lost a single
MAGA voter. So not one Trump voter, they're
all in a cult. Okay, let's go to graphic time.
Among younger supporters, just 57 % of Trump
[00:12:29]
voters under 35 now approve of his job performance,
marking a major drop from the near universal
support he enjoyed among his coalition at the
beginning of his term. Okay. Okay, the drop
is a whopping 35 points from 92 % approval rating
he enjoyed among his youngest voters at the
[00:12:50]
start of 2025. On the other hand, he's still
hanging on to the over 50 voters, but even
there's some erosion there. 87 % of Trump voters
ages 50 and older still approve of his performance.
But on the war, only 79 % of the over 50 approve
the performance. On the war, he's even lost
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20 % of the zombies. They're like, Sean Hannity
says it's a great idea, but I'm paying so much
more for everything. I don't know, we said no
war, but Gutfeld says we should do war, I don't
know. So 20 % of those guys are against the
war, which for Trump and his older base is
[00:13:29]
still a remarkable number. But as Harry Anthony
would say, you lost 35 points of on your younger
words, it going down. down. Yeah, that's falling
off a cliff. So has he lost some of his own
[00:13:45]
voters? Yeah, bet you. Yeah, yeah, the question
is, how much does he care? Does he ever care?
I mean, he does wildly unpopular things that
even a dullard would know would lose him support.
He doesn't seem to be bothered by it. And he
and the Republicans seem to have made the decision
[00:14:00]
a long time ago that to the extent that they
care about the electoral ramifications of any
of this. The only thing that they are willing
to try to do to offset the damage they're doing
is to manipulate the system, rig things, gerrymander,
get the SCOTUS to rule on their behalf. They
don't really seem to be even trying to sell
anything to the people. So I'm very concerned
[00:14:19]
about that. I don't rule out the potential
motivations that you sketched out for why he
might go back into Iran. But I also don't think
that they're the only potential explanations.
I mean, you see all these insider accounts
coming from inside the administration. senior
administration officials that he is talking
about himself like he's Homelander saying
[00:14:38]
I'm the most powerful person who has ever lived.
I will craft the future with just my will I
can do and accomplish anything. He's out of
his mind, Cenk. It was very stupid to start
this war to begin with. It was stupider to continue
it. And to go back in would be madness, economic
[00:14:57]
madness. But remember, it was stupid to start
the tariffs when he did. They've done massive
damage. Then the Supreme Court swept in and
said, you know what, actually, let us save
you here, the tariffs are gone. And rather
than take that, he put them back in another
[00:15:13]
form. His uh approval rating on inflation was
so bad that I don't know if you saw it was
one of the cable news networks had to create
a new graph for it because his approval rating
didn't fit on the prior one. So he is willing
to double down on wildly unpopular moves for
[00:15:29]
seemingly no reason. But let's talk about this
one because hypothetically the Senate could
get involved. One would say they have an obligation,
a responsibility to get involved. That is their
constitutional role. They were reminded of
that with the War Powers Act. But the best
that we can get at this point from Republicans
is like Tom Tillis saying, I felt like the
[00:15:49]
War Powers Resolution says in 60 days you have
to take some action. We need to start talking
with the administration and in cooperation with
them to get an authorization for the use of
military force. the American people understand
that Congress is behind what the President
is trying to do. He's one of the critical ones
and all he's saying is, we'll come to them
[00:16:08]
hat in hand and just help the people to know
that we support this stupid unpopular war as
much as Donald Trump does. When from my point
of view, Cenk, if there was every reason for
the war powers, I mean, there's been a lot of
stupid conflicts we've gotten involved with.
This one was needless, okay? There was no
reason to go, there was no imminent war or
[00:16:28]
anything. He could have gotten authorization
from the Republicans in the Senate and the
House. He's just choosing not to. It's wildly
expensive. We've already lost Americans. We've
killed tons of civilians. He cannot articulate
a good reason for us to be in the war. It's
wildly expensive. It was unpopular on day one,
less popular every day since then. As you have
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pointed out, know. It is now less popular than
Vietnam or Iraq, which is mind boggling. If
there is ever a call for the Senate to actually
step in, wiggle a little bit, exert some sort
of energy, some sort of power. But they're
not, they're allowing him to pursue a stupid,
[00:17:08]
costly, unpopular war. And the best they can
do is say, well, maybe we can co-sign a letter
with him. should, again, there's a lot that
they should do that clearly they're not going
to do. And it's very frustrating to see that
as always, other than one or two Republican,
[00:17:25]
Marjorie Greene, guess, Every other Republican
in elected office is an utter sub to Donald
Trump, despite how catastrophically unpopular
he is. The spell has broken, he should not
have a stranglehold on the party or on the
movement. Some would say he doesn't and yet
[00:17:41]
they're still acting as if he doesn't, it's
incredibly frustrating. Yeah, so I think,
is he crazy? Well, of course he's always been
crazy. And is he extra level of crazy now?
Sure, but like, I still see that as relative
constant. But the reason why I think that he
[00:18:00]
blackmailed us a very significant possibility
is because he clearly doesn't want to continue
the war because at every time that he had an
opportunity is, he does these fake deadlines.
I will destroy everyone in Iran and Paraguay
at the same time tomorrow at noon, right? And
[00:18:17]
then tomorrow comes and it's 1155, he's like,
I changed my mind. They've conceded. the Paraguayans
and the penguins have conceded. So I will now
extend the deadline and he's done that like
three times now, right? Okay, fine, the ceasefire
is permanent, but not permanent. I will destroy
[00:18:35]
them plus I need more time, okay? So he doesn't
want to reengage because the minute you start
bombing the oil facilities again, calamity ensues.
And apparently someone's talked him into that,
so he's worried, right? So is it that he's
crazy or is it that he's controlled? Well,
[00:18:54]
a little bit of both, right? And like on the
crazy front, the tariffs, he did it again.
like, the Europeans, I'm mad at them. Plus Israelis
told me that I have to get out of Naverdo so
they can attack Turkey. tariffs are back up
to 25%. But that's why we told you not to elect
[00:19:13]
them. Electing a madman is no matter how frustrated
you are, not a great idea. the largest military
the world has ever seen in the entire country,
etc. But bottom line is for Congress in
[00:19:29]
what you're talking about, John, look, they're
pathetic. I need you guys to get this out
of your head. There's almost no one in Congress
who's like, what's the right thing to do? Okay,
what they look at is the polling, the donors,
and then they make a calculation. They are
[00:19:47]
cold. calculating cowards. And they have no
morals, they have no principles, they have
no guiding philosophy at all. And I swear to
you that I'm not exaggerating. So there's about
5 % of Congress that does, Bernie Sanders, Thomas
Massey, etc. But 95 % are like, where's the
[00:20:05]
check? Where's my power? Where is it? Where's
my ego? Right? So the only way to move them,
and I literally talked to a senator in Washington
recently and he confirmed this. The only thing
they care about is fear, fear of losing their
own power. So if you don't throw the bums out,
[00:20:24]
they're never going to do the War Powers Act.
They're never going to stop the war. They're
never going to do anything but kiss Trump's
ass and Israel's ass. So you have to throw
out all the incumbents. If you don't do that,
then don't complain about Congress. If you
haven't gone to your primary and voted against
an incumbent, then you had it coming. Because
[00:20:42]
this government is 95 % corrupt. and will never
represent you. So why on God's green earth
would you ever vote for any of these guys? No,
if you're not voting in the primaries to get
them out, then the war will continue and Israel
will continue to rule us. Yeah, no, you're
[00:21:01]
right. The War Powers Act is supposed to get
them to do their job, but it can't get them
to want to do their job. So only we can do that.
And uh so when you have people that utterly
give up their power to the least qualified man
in history, when you have an a Senate that's
filled with geriatrics. The answer at the end
of the day very often is why have we allowed
[00:21:21]
this? Now, of course, there's money in politics,
there's the corrupt media, there's structural
protections against challenges and stuff, there's
all of that. But at the end of the day, we
still have to want to change to get a change.
So I agree with you there. uh
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