Looking ahead, what guarantees Hamas disarms and that Israel doesn't resume bombing once the hostages are released? We're doing is getting our hostages back okay? And that's what people wanted more than anything else. They wanted these hostages back that have lived in hell [00:00:15] like nobody has ever even dreamt possible. And after that, we'll see. But they've agreed to things, and, I think, it's going to move along pretty well. What is phase two? When does it begin? Talk about that. [00:00:32] Well, the Israeli government is set to vote any minute now on the first phase of Donald Trump's peace plan for Gaza. And as you can see, he is already claiming all of this as a victory for himself. We're going to get into all the details of the plan. But first, Jake, this isn't the first time that we've heard of talks of a deal. [00:00:52] Do you feel like this is any different this time around? Well, it's definitely different because significant promises have been made. Aid. And my guess is that those promises will be broken nearly instantaneously by Israel. So then the question becomes, what do they what does Donald Trump and the United [00:01:10] States of America do once Israel inevitably violates this peace deal? So let's tell you about the the parameters of the deal. How much of Gaza are they keeping for now? How much are they going to keep later? When will they actually withdraw? And what are going to be the consequences if they violate the peace deal? [00:01:28] - So let's get into it. - All right. Well, the ministers in the Israeli government, they're expected to approve the cease fire deal with a strong majority. But as of right now, that has not been confirmed. Benjamin Netanyahu's office is saying that once the deal is signed, [00:01:44] a cease fire would begin within 24 hours. Additionally, a 24 hour deadline will be imposed for Israeli forces to initially pull back to retain control of 53% of the Gaza Strip. And that feels like a lot to me. [00:02:01] Officials did not elaborate on the line's Israeli forces would pull back to. But the white House plan indicates further withdrawals to around 40%, then 15%. That final stage would be a security perimeter that would remain [00:02:18] until Gaza is properly secure from any resurgent terror threat. But that phase of the deal has not been hammered out yet, and as of right now, it is all incredibly vague. So we're still waiting for more clarity on what's going on here. [00:02:33] After the first 24 hours and the IDF's partial retreat. Hamas will have 72 hours to release the hostages, of which there are believed to be 2020 hostages. The expectation is that they will be released by Monday. [00:02:48] The return of the bodies and of 28 deceased hostages would follow, but the timeline for that is not yet clear. So under Trump's framework, Israel would release 250 Palestinian prisoners serving life sentences and some 1700 people detained from Gaza since October 7th, [00:03:09] 2023, including all women and children who were detained. So hundreds of trucks carrying humanitarian aid will also start entering Gaza. What a relief. Today, Trump said that he plans to visit the Middle East early next week [00:03:26] to personally sign the cease fire deal. And while the signing of the agreement could be a great development, Israel is already signaling that any upcoming ceasefire will be precarious at best, which is not very encouraging. So Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz directed the IDF to respond with great [00:03:47] force to any threat or attack by Hamas on Israeli forces during the interim stage of the cease fire deal. And that's what he told the Israeli media on Thursday, Hamas officials say Trump verbally guaranteed that Israel would not resume bombing Gaza [00:04:05] after hostages are released. But Israel has made no such promise. And today, when Trump was asked what security guarantees the US will make in Gaza, he provided no specifics, saying only that he will work with very wealthy countries [00:04:20] to make Gaza as good as possible. The Riviera, the Middle East, I believe, he said. There's still a lot that's up in the air about Trump's 20 point peace plan. Beyond the hostage release and negotiations on the second phase of the [00:04:36] deal will focus on disarmament of Hamas, which has been a sticking point, and Israeli withdrawal to secure the perimeter and day after governance of the Gaza Strip. So still a lot of moving parts that we're working with here, Jake. Again, there there is progress being made, which is good. [00:04:55] Not just the release of those 20 hostages and also the deceased bodies of the hostages that were. That, you know, did not survive all this onslaught in Gaza, but also the release of a lot of the people who were abducted from Palestine and were being kept in Israel. [00:05:11] Yeah, that is progress. No one's mad about any of that. But it does feel I think the word was precarious. Right. It all feels very, on shaky ground. Nobody is making any definitive promises. So we've seen Israel defy peace deals and ceasefires in the past. [00:05:28] So I, I would like to think that this time is different, but I'm having a hard time. - What do you think, Jake? - Yeah. So. All right, there's a couple of parts to this that are super important. So first, am I happy about it? Yeah. As I've said many times, I want the hostages back. I don't want Hamas run Gaza. So there's no downside in that case. [00:05:47] You know, the prisoner exchanges, the people Hamas is getting back. I don't know them. That's not my primary concern. Marwan Barghouti is actually a person who could make peace. That is the main relevant person that Israel has. And if he's released and he can actually be a force for peace negotiations [00:06:06] to get to a two state solution, that would be important. But mainly the issue here is, is Israel going to actually withdraw? And how much are they going to withdraw? How much of Gaza are they planning to keep? And then, will they continue to bomb Gaza? [00:06:24] So Trump gave an assurance to Hamas that this war was, quote, once they signed the peace deal and returned the hostages is, quote, fully and completely ended. Okay. Now, I would be shocked. I'll fall out of this chair if Israel never bombs Gaza again [00:06:43] and fully withdraws at some point. I know it's not going to happen immediately. We gave you the numbers a second ago. I'll come back to that. Right. But if they actually do what they promised, it's inconceivable. It's like never happened. Never. And certainly has hasn't happened in the last two years. [00:06:58] Right. So, it'll be shocking. Well, let me be fair. No, I shouldn't say never. Never with this government. Right. Israel didn't make a peace treaty with Egypt, and both sides did keep that peace treaty intact. So in years past, there were actual peace treaties, [00:07:16] and they were amazingly successful. So. But this current government is run honestly by a bunch of crazed genocidal lunatics, and they've proven it over the last two years. I mean, there's no amount of Palestinian blood that is enough for them. So I can't imagine a scenario where they wouldn't continue to bomb Gaza. [00:07:36] So here, for example, why do I say that? Among hundreds of examples, the latest one is this week I gave Trump a little bit of credit because after the peace deal was announced the first time around, he said to Israel, okay, that's it. Stop bombing. And Israel said, okay. After they bombed for three more hours. [00:07:54] And then after the three hours, they're like, okay, okay, I think we murdered enough for today. We'll listen to Trump. And then right after that, after the press reported that they went right back to bombing, you know, they bombed Gaza today. They and they keep slaughtering people every single day. [00:08:11] So if you didn't hear it doesn't mean that they didn't do it. They're continuing like the mass murder in Gaza. So they're addicted to violence. They're a terrorist state that can't stop doing terrorism. And why are they doing it just because they're evil? No, no, no, no, I mean, this cabinet that they have is I mean, if evil exists, [00:08:29] it's clearly Israel's current cabinet. Right. But I'm not I'm not interested in evil. I'm interested in actions. Why they're acting. How can we get them to stop? How do we get to peace, etc.? So in this case, Ezra, to you, first of all, in the beginning they keep 53% of Gaza. [00:08:45] What happened? I thought it was about the hostages. You got your hostages back, you did your self-defense. You leveled all of Gaza. You committed a genocide. What else do you need? Why? What? Oh, you want the land? And now all of a sudden, conveniently after the peace deal and after your [00:09:01] genocide, you have more than half of Gaza. Now. They claim they're going to withdraw to 40%, which is already an abomination. And then the 15%, first of all, no, no, an independent Palestine, all of Gaza, all of the West Bank. [00:09:16] Look, we've got into details before about right of return, etc.. There's Palestinians have to give up real and sizable things in order to get that peace deal. I'm very realistic and practical about it. But if at the end of this, Israel keeps anywhere from 15 to 53% of Gaza, they're [00:09:34] going to think mission accomplished. We used October 7th, which happened was allowed to happen. I mean, there's tons and tons of stories about how a tiny little country, they couldn't get across that country in six hours. The IDF, legendary IDF. [00:09:49] Oh, where did I put my gun? Oh, let me go find it. Well, you Well, you know what? I'll wait four hours and then I'll go find it and go anyways. But either way, whether you think October 7th was like, oh my God, they were so fully prepared. [00:10:05] But golly gee, this was the one time of the IDF was just, like, catastrophically negligent. Right. Okay, okay. No, but it doesn't really matter. Even if you believe that or you think that October 7th was a convenient and and something that they wanted to use as an excuse to grab land. [00:10:23] It doesn't matter either way. We said when they started this, everybody said, oh, self-defense. Self-Defense, they should they should get to kill a lot more Palestinians, way more, way more. And they're doing it because, oh, they're the victims now, by the way, on October 7th, they really were the victims. Okay. So we said relatively early on, no, they're going to take the land. [00:10:43] And everybody said anti-Semite. That's a trope. Is it really is it a trope that Jewish people go and take? That's not even a trope. That's not a thing. Jewish people have never done that before. And this isn't Jewish people. This is the government of Israel. Right. So it doesn't matter. We said that they were going to take land. [00:10:59] And everybody, all of Israel. Oh, outrageous. Outrageous. Well, now they're saying, yeah, of course we're going to take land at a bare minimum. We're going to take 15% of Gaza, but probably will take way, way more. And I'd be surprised if they didn't go beyond 53%, because the whole point [00:11:17] of this was to steal half of Gaza. And and so, I mean, we're celebrating a peace deal because we're hoping against hope that Israel will stop bombing, although they never do. And we're happy that the hostages are back. [00:11:34] But at the end of the day, Israel is going to wind up with exactly what they wanted, which is a ton of Palestinian land. Golly gee, that just happened to happen. They didn't want it. The Palestinians made Israel take their land And all of American media [00:11:54] will repeat that. The Palestinians made the Israelis take their land. The Palestinians are anti-Semitic, and that's why they need to be murdered. Wait, isn't it bigoted to say that about Muslims? Shut up. Nobody cares about Muslims. You guys are all anti-Semites. Keep killing. Right. So that's my guess as to what's going to happen. Israel isn't going to give up an inch of the 53%. [00:12:11] They're going to try to get 60 and 70 and the whole thing. And one more thing. Yes. So of course they are by the way, like like I said, they keep bombing. Right. So when Trump told them to stop bombing they ignored Trump. So when they ignore Trump this time the real point of of action, [00:12:29] the turning point, the decisive point is going to be when Israel says, oh, Hamas didn't turn themselves in enough. They didn't turn enough weapons, no matter how many weapons they turn in is, I guarantee you, 100% guarantee. Israel will say they didn't turn it enough. [00:12:46] How do we determine it? It's totally made up by Israel. So there's no way to determine it. So at that point when they go back to bombing, taking land, etc., will Trump go? Look guys, I said fully and completely ended, you are to stop bombing. That was the whole point of the peace deal, and you were to withdraw [00:13:03] to your security perimeter right then. And if you don't, we're going to end your funding. Well, then I'll give Trump a world of credit. And if he gets the Israelis to comply. Yeah. I mean, then we're having a conversation about peace prize, blah, blah, blah. I mean, you really get the peace prize if you get two independent states, but okay. [00:13:21] But if, on the other hand, once Israel violates the deal, if Trump goes, I got the hostages back. That was the main thing. I got the house. So who cares about the Palestinians? Where's my money? Where's my money? Israeli lobby. Okay. Yeah. Go keep killing him. If he does that, then he was a con man. [00:13:40] And and he will have betrayed the Palestinians, violated every promise. And then tell the American people, no, no, we serve Israel and we will allow them to do anything. And the whole peace deal was just a con job to get the Palestinians to give the Israelis more land than if he does that, [00:13:57] then he's going to get caught in his even his own base will be like, come on, brother. I mean, how much are you going to kiss these guys asses? So that's in the future, and we don't know that yet, but I'm afraid we're going to find out soon. [00:14:12] Yeah. I mean, we still have a lot to keep an eye on with the situation. And even with this peace deal, that's about that. I guess we're about to get, I don't feel as though this is over, and I would love for that to not be the case, but it's just. I don't see it happening. I remember, you know, earlier today when we were talking about this story [00:14:30] with the producers, I was like, what is why is this one any different from the previous peace deals or ceasefires that we've seen over there? Because we know that they don't always keep the peace, the ceasefire, and we know that they have a lot of this comes down to language. And I hate to diminish something that is so visceral to something like language, [00:14:49] but whenever you exist within a space where there is like a lot of vague language that's being used, you can use that to justify all manner of things. And that's actually a point that's going to become relevant in a later story that we're going to cover on this show. But, you know, we we're looking at, 20 hostages that were that are going [00:15:09] to be released from, from from Gaza. But we also have 250 prisoners who are serving life sentences in Israel. And we also have 1700 detainees in Israel. But those are detainees. They're not hostages. So I guess that's the difference. [00:15:24] And I guess that's why 20 is is so much worse than 1700 plus 250 also, they're finally going to allow aid to go through. That's nice. Especially considering what we just all saw happen with the with the global salmon [00:15:40] flotilla and what happened specifically to Greta Thunberg. And she has been out very vocal about not even specifically talking about what's happening to her, but talking specifically about the fact that, you know, they were there trying to deliver humanitarian aid to a war torn nation, [00:15:57] and Israel decided that they own all those waters and stopped them and boarded them and then tortured them. So also, Jake, this is, I can't tell if this is like a relevant point to make. So I'll just throw this in. I'll throw it out there for whoever wants to take it. [00:16:14] But the Republicans, they're so mad right now about Bad Bunny performing at the Super Bowl. And the reason that they're giving is because they can't say that it's because they're racist, or because they don't understand that Puerto Ricans are actually American or whatever. [00:16:29] The reason is that Bad Bunny is a bad role model for children. And won't someone think of the children? Right? And it's such a ridiculous argument, but I guess it's the only one that they have. Mike Johnson, Speaker Johnson, he's the one who came out and said that he's the one who is also not, [00:16:46] allowing us to allowing Congress to vote on the release of the Epstein file, so he doesn't care about children that much. Also, they don't care about all these Palestinian children that are being bombed and killed and dismembered and orphaned. They only care about the children that are going to be, you know, [00:17:02] subjected to Bad Bunny at the Super Bowl and like, I don't know. Again, it's not relevant. It's not the biggest, the most important point, but that was the thing that that stood out to me is like, how can you not care about these babies? But I mean, I really do hope that something good comes from this. So I thought you were going in this direction with it. [00:17:18] I mean, bad role model. You worried about Bad Bunny? How about Netanyahu? We're claiming he's such a wonderful, special ally of ours. Oh, here's a role model that murdered 20,000 children. I think it's a little bit. Even if you hate Bad Bunny. Pretty sure Netanyahu is worse. But on the other hand, to be fair to some portions of the right wing, [00:17:37] they've now turned on Netanyahu and are not fans at all. Right. So, I mean, if the world shares one opinion, it is that we loathe Benjamin Netanyahu. Which leads me to my final couple of points here, which is look, when Israel violates the peace deal. [00:17:52] And you look, guys, the reason I'm guaranteeing it is because the the so-called surrender of Hamas is so vague. It's like they have to put numbers on it. If they don't put numbers on it, they don't put something on it. Israel will definitely. [00:18:09] There is no world where Israel says, oh, they surrendered enough. There's no way they're ever going to say that. So it's a guarantee they're going to violate anyway. So when they violate the peace deal, especially after people think it's a real peace deal, I mean, there's people that are Gazans that are talking about going back into Gaza because [00:18:27] part of the deal is the the people of Gaza can now go in and out as they please, within bounds of reason. Of course, it's still an occupation. And Israel still, they're tyrants that oversee them, but they're not supposed to push the Palestinians out and they're supposed to allow them to reenter. [00:18:43] And people like, oh my God, I'm going to go back to Gaza. We're going to rebuild Gaza. And when that hope is crushed, I think Israel is underestimating the fury of the world. I think that they're thinking so what? We control everyone. We, you know, everybody's complaining in America online, blah blah blah. [00:19:02] Tucker Carlson, Young Turks. Oh, well, we lost the right wing base. Oh, the left wing. 92% of them now are against us. So what? We have 90% of Congress. We have 100% of mainstream media. So what? Right. We have all of the power. [00:19:19] Look, brother, I don't know how it ends, but I know that when you lose 95% of the world's population, that's not going to end well for you. And so, look, I hope nothing bad happens to the civilians in Israel, etc.. And I don't know what bad means, but I do know that at some point, [00:19:35] whether we like it or not, there's usually consequences in in nature when everyone around you thinks you're the most evil thing on earth, and they're watching you slaughter kids on on their on air. [00:19:53] Right. We see it with our own eyes. And if you keep going like that, I don't know what happens to that worldwide rage. You know, I know that a lot of Israelis and honestly, a lot of Jewish people have been taught, oh, the world hates you anyway. They all want to kill you. [00:20:08] They're all anti-Semites. They're gonna kill you. They're going to kill you. They hate you. They hate you. They get taught that. And it's so destructive. No, the world didn't hate you. Netanyahu, in this current sick government made the world hate you. I mean, what are we supposed to do? Are we supposed to be like, oh, you murdered 20,000 kids? [00:20:25] Bravo! No, of course people are going to react. It wouldn't have mattered if Cambodia did it. If China did it, Peru did it, or Israel did it. Of course, you're going to be very angry at any country that creates that kind of massive injustice. And then what happens with that anger? I don't know. [00:20:43] I don't know, but they're playing with fire And Netanyahu is the most arrogant, sick man of my lifetime. Last thing is, Barghouti is not part of this deal. I want to be clear about that. What I'm saying is Barghouti. Barghouti is a super relevant Palestinian figure who can actually get to peace, [00:21:02] and that is why Israel has made it clear he will not be part of this deal. He will not be released. The guys who committed crimes. Yeah, yeah. Go ahead. Right. That's. We'll just round them up tomorrow. The 17 I don't care the 250 that were on death row. That's Hamas's business, okay. The 1700 that Israel detained. [00:21:20] They're just like, just round up people. Who cares? They have 20 hostages. Let's take 2000 hostages. We're Israel, we're allowed to do whatever we want. So I'm glad those guys are coming home. But the most important guy is the guy who can make peace. And that's why Israel will not be releasing him. Because this current government of Israel has absolutely no interest in peace. [00:21:37] And you'll see with your own eyes, they'll prove me right every time you ring the bell below. An angel gets his wings. Totally not true, but it does keep you updated on our live shows.